I have been to Iraq many times and have a large number of dear friends there. Below is an article that was translated by one of our Alumni. I didn’t edit it any. It is from a prominent Iraqi political commentator. I don’t endorse or dispute any of his comments but it is a nice example of insider commentary that we don’t really get here. It captures the actual complexity of real political life.
Published: 08:57 13/03/2017 AST Updated: 08:58 13/03/2017 AST
Iraq will not be stable, unless the terrors of politicians from Iran, Saudi Arabia and the anxiety -which became like a disease- from “Safawi influence” and ” Wahhabi influence ” waiting to get them, and conspiratorial illusions about each other agenda in the region stop.
Few months on the “paper of a political corporation” and the Iraqi political scene live in chaos, extortion, threats between the Kurds and Arabs, and wars of liberation between the joint forces and Daesh, as well as sectarian fist fight between Sunnis and Shiites, all this does not allow the security and economic stability in the majority Iraqi provinces, as well as the chances of radical solutions are not in sight, especially in the liberated cities of Daesh and geographical disputed areas.. in other words, all Iraqis are working to achieve and gain power or strengthen the gains of sub-identities (sectraian and tribal identities), and earn more wealth, and some politicians convinced that the political quota system is the cause of all these problems, and they do not bear responsibility for the actions of their partners.
There are several reasons pushed Iraq to the current political chaos, most notably the financial and administrative corruption among the political parties in control of the government and administration in Iraq; as the leadership of the rolling parties and those close to them are in control of the ministries and the institutions and departments that are part of their share of the political quota, and as a result, money that should go to Investment in development and infrastructure, go into the pockets of corrupted leaders (the people who put them in those position in the first place) and those close to them, who thanks to their relationships get higher position without having their professional competence nor leadership, and the brain drain, especially from the middle class and members of minority groups who are doing their best to migrate from Iraq, in order to find work in another place (I myself find myself in this position and so far failed to do so) ; because their country do not appreciate them or in some cases chasing them because of their ethnic or sectarian or partisan affiliation.
In fact Trump administration is trying to form a new Sunni alliance with the help of its Sunni allies in Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the UAE, Qatar, and its not a different from for the faces created by the current political circumstances, or from the former one, Washington returned to Iraq in the end of 2014 to fight Daesh, then it began to fear of leaving after Daesh, so as not to repeat the fault that occurred after 2011, which was the main cause of the decline of Iraq’s security, economic and political!
The new Sunni alliance is not a rivel to the victorious (the Kurds and Shiites) in the war on Daesh, launched by the International necessary to collect Sunni politicians under one roof with their partners in Iraq, and anyone who watch knows that Kurd vs. Kurd war – Kurd vs. Shiite – Iraqi governmental vs. Kurd war – , may be the next, due to the conflict to strengthen power and the division of wealth at the expense of Sunnis and minorities, this danger can not be hindered or diluted only by forming a unified leadership for the Sunnis; to negotiate with the victorious partners.
Therefore, the Sunni political movements witnessed by the media in a discussion Panels some of them in Istanbul, Amman and another in Riyadh, Doha and Geneva and Ankara, not limited to the pro-government political process, but also include Sunni opposition, which are both political and armed ones!
These discussion panels sponsored by some EU countries and the United States and the Sunni neighborhood, did not worry Dr. Abadi government, but it came in circumstances may worry Tehran, which is preparing for the unknown, and realizes that it will lose its influence in Syria and Yemen, leaving her with nothing to negotiate with, except the loyalty of some allies in Iraq, and perhaps accelerate a launch of a pre-emptive media attacks to thwart those efforts, unless they are part of it, and this is very difficult with Trump’s administration, which has huge conservatism toward Iran.
We are not here to understand why the same Sunni faces was chosen, which were the same partner responsible the problem of the decline of Iraq, but what we understand the Trump management calls for quick formation of a Sunni political coalition to regain the initiative from Iran influence, so as not to weaken the Sunni political leadership, and try to weaken what is known as Political Shiism or Political kurdishim , and thus start the new cycle of identity war, which made Daesh from the start and it’s casks of terrorism which threatened the whole world.
This the Sunni alliance is essential for anyone interested in the fight against terrorism in Iraq and Syria, which also put pressure on Iran’s policy in other ways, the current issue of those discussion panels are the supervision of international watch which impose concessions on everyone as a this is how it should things go right now, and the new alliances that later may appear it will be used as pressure means and negotiating cards. *(please let me know if that was clear or not I rather use my own words to explain it)
We acknowledge that this alliance may not be able to bear the burdens of the old Sunni leaders, especially those who have been tried and failed before, but this opportunity remains the only hope, which is not free of big brothers ways of steering things in one direction or another.
The nucleus of the Sunni Consensus Front was always the political reserve for the political sunni in the Iraqi political arena, then broke up and replaced by a Sunni coalitions: Religious and Arabist (national arab) and Baathist and liberal, then broke up to a are loyal to the alllies of the Sunni states, and the ones loyal to the axis of Iran, these new alliances (the one in the making right now with the panel we were talking about) are trying to unite the pro-allies of Sunni states, and attracts the largest possible number of pro-Iranian axis.